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Tropical Forest Collapse Locked Earth in Five-Million-Year Super-Greenhouse

Fossil-based vegetation maps matched to climate simulations reveal forest breakdown as the driver of prolonged hothouse conditions after the Permian extinction.

Image
Another post-extinction lycopod.
A complicated broad leaf seed fern from a pre-extinction South China rainforest.
Post-extinction lycopod sporophyll.

Overview

  • University of Leeds and China University of Geosciences researchers published new plant productivity maps in Nature Communications, reconstructing tropical vegetation changes across the Permian–Triassic extinction.
  • Advanced fossil record analyses paired with climate simulations show that equatorial rainforest collapse curtailed carbon sequestration and sustained super-greenhouse temperatures for about five million years.
  • The findings identify a climate–forest tipping point where loss of tropical carbon sinks prevented atmospheric CO₂ drawdown even after Siberian Traps volcanism ended.
  • Model results confirm that reduced net primary productivity inferred from fossils aligns with the magnitude and duration of prolonged post-extinction warming.
  • Researchers warn that modern tropical forest decline could initiate similar feedback loops, hindering climate recovery even if CO₂ emissions are halted.