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3h ago

Tropical Depression Raymond Nears Baja Sur Landfall as Flood Risk Shifts Toward Sonora

Forecasters now expect the weakened system to funnel into the Gulf of California, concentrating torrential rain on Sonora on Sunday.

Tormenta Raymond podría afectar principalmente al Norte de México con oleajes altos y lluvias fuertes.
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La depresión tropical Raymond provoca alerta en Sonora y Baja California Sur

Overview

  • Raymond weakened to a tropical depression around midday Saturday with sustained winds near 55 km/h, located about 135 km south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas and on track to make landfall in southern Baja California Sur within hours, according to SMN/Conagua.
  • Officials forecast intense rainfall of 75–150 mm in Baja California Sur, central and eastern Sonora, and parts of Chihuahua, with SMN’s Fabián Romaña warning Sonora could see up to 250 mm on Sunday as the system moves into the Gulf of California.
  • As the system lost strength, authorities discontinued the tropical-storm wind prevention zone from Los Barriles to Santa Fe, but advisories remain for strong gusts and elevated surf from Baja California Sur to Nayarit and Sinaloa.
  • Emergency readiness is active with deployments by the Navy (about 1,500 personnel) and Army (Plan DN-III with roughly 1,050 elements), and shelters prepared in Los Cabos and La Paz, while local officials urge residents to heed evacuation and safety guidance.
  • Raymond’s moisture is combining with remnants of Priscilla, a frontal boundary and the monsoon trough to sustain widespread rains across Mexico, with flooding, landslides and road disruptions already reported in several states and additional storms expected through Sunday.