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yesterday

Tropical Depression Forms in Central Atlantic, Likely to Become Gabrielle Today

Early guidance favors a northward turn that keeps major U.S. impacts unlikely for now.

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The tropical wave that could become Tropical Storm Gabrielle seen in red, with a second disturbance seen behind in yellow.
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Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center said Tropical Depression Seven formed about 1,185 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands with 35 mph winds and is expected to reach tropical-storm strength later today.
  • A west-northwest to northwest track is forecast for the next few days before a turn north over the central Atlantic, which could bring the system closer to Bermuda next week.
  • Forecasters expect slow strengthening at first with a better chance for intensification by the weekend as environmental conditions improve, and some guidance suggests it could reach hurricane strength.
  • The system ends an unusual near three-week stretch without an active Atlantic cyclone during the seasonal peak and would be the seventh named storm of 2025 once named Gabrielle.
  • A separate tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands has a low chance of development at 10–20% over seven days, and NOAA and Colorado State University expect broader Atlantic activity to increase into late September and October.