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3w ago

Trent Grisham’s Breakout Powers Yankees as Free-Agency Decisions Loom

Advanced metrics reinforce his surge, sharpening questions about a qualifying offer given an overcrowded outfield this winter.

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 29: Trent Grisham #12 of the New York Yankees hits a grand slam against the Chicago White Sox during the fourth inning at Rate Field on August 29, 2025 in Chicago, Illinois.
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Overview

  • Grisham has reached a career-best 28 home runs with a recent flurry of seven in an 11-game span, helping keep New York in the playoff hunt.
  • His 2025 line sits around .248/.354/.482 with an .836 OPS, marking a significant jump in power and on-base production from prior seasons.
  • Saber analysis highlights elite results against four-seam fastballs, with a +16 Statcast Run Value tied with Aaron Judge and a reduced strikeout rate alongside strong walk rates.
  • The 28-year-old hits free agency after the season, and a qualifying offer projected north of $20 million is under discussion, with Cody Bellinger ineligible for another QO after 2023.
  • Roster calculus complicates a return as the Yankees project outfield roles for Aaron Judge and Jasson Domínguez with top prospect Spencer Jones pressing for MLB time.