Overview
- Officials are considering lifting the banking surcharge from 3% toward 8%, with union estimates suggesting about £2bn a year in extra revenue if fully restored.
- Sources say the option remains under active consideration ahead of the Autumn Budget announcement next week, and no decision has been confirmed.
- Market speculation about a higher levy has already pressured UK bank shares in recent weeks.
- Economists warn lenders could protect margins by lowering savings rates, raising some borrowing costs, or tightening credit, although mortgage competition may limit increases.
- Context for the move includes strong sector earnings, with the five biggest UK banks forecast to make roughly £52.6bn in pre‑tax profits next year, and the surcharge having been cut from 8% to 3% in 2023.