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Treasury Market Turmoil Deepens as Yields Surge and Liquidity Stresses Mount

A sharp selloff in U.S. Treasuries, driven by rising tariffs, liquidity constraints, and hedge fund unwinding, signals vulnerabilities in global financial markets.

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, U.S., April 8, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
U.S. President Donald Trump holds an executive order about tariffs increase, flanked by U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 13, 2025. REUTERS/File Photo
A trading screen is seen in the lobby of the London Stock Exchange in London, Britain, May 14, 2024. REUTERS/Hannah McKay/File photo
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 8, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Overview

  • U.S. Treasury yields have spiked significantly, with the 10-year yield rising 59 basis points since Monday, reflecting a sharp market selloff.
  • Hedge funds are being forced to unwind leveraged 'basis trades' due to margin calls, exacerbating volatility and liquidity pressures in the bond market.
  • Narrowing swap spreads highlight intensified selling, with foreign central banks and other traditional buyers largely absent from the market.
  • Analysts warn that the selloff, triggered by U.S. tariffs and inflation fears, echoes the COVID-era 'dash for cash' and exposes systemic fragility.
  • The Treasury market's instability raises concerns about broader financial risks, with some forecasting potential Federal Reserve intervention if conditions worsen.