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Treasury Forecasts $300 Billion in Tariff Revenue as Major New Duties Take Effect

Letters to a dozen countries set a firm August 1 deadline for 50% copper duties alongside planned semiconductor and pharmaceutical levies

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testifies during a Senate Finance Committee hearing on U.S. President Donald Trump's budget request for the Department of Treasury, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/ File Photo
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Overview

  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S. has collected about $100 billion in tariff income so far in 2025 and projects that could exceed $300 billion by year-end
  • Customs duties hit a record $22.8 billion in May after the administration imposed a universal 10% import levy and raised tariffs on steel, aluminum and autos in the second quarter
  • The White House dispatched letters to 12 trading partners, including Japan, South Korea and Indonesia, warning that reciprocal tariff increases will take effect without extensions on August 1
  • President Trump announced an immediate 50% tariff on copper imports and signaled forthcoming levies on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals during a cabinet meeting
  • The Congressional Budget Office estimates that tariffs could generate about $2.8 trillion in revenue over the next decade, supporting the administration’s long-term fiscal projections