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Traders Lean Into “TACO” Trade as Trump’s Tariff Bluffs and Backdowns Solidify Market Pattern

Investors are pricing in his habit of reversing steep levies following a court ruling that struck down his broad tariffs before a temporary reinstatement

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Overview

  • The acronym “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out), coined by Financial Times columnist Robert Armstrong, has become Wall Street shorthand for the president’s cycle of high tariff threats followed by retreats.
  • A federal court invalidated the so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and an appeals court has paused its order pending further briefing through June 9.
  • Market volatility has softened as traders buy on Trump’s tariff announcements and sell only if levies stick, reflecting confidence that he will ultimately relent.
  • Trump has forcefully rejected the “TACO” label in Oval Office exchanges, insisting his steep initial rates are strategic negotiation tactics rather than concessions.
  • Armstrong and ex-aide Alyssa Farah Griffin warn that the nickname’s widespread use could prompt Trump to abandon his retreats, risking prolonged trade standoffs and renewed market turbulence.