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Trade Desk Ends Brutal 2025 With Target Cuts as Stock Sinks About 66%

Analysts cite Amazon's expanding CTV access in a reassessment of the independent DSP's outlook.

Overview

  • Shares have fallen roughly 65% to 66% year to date, ranking among the S&P 500’s worst performers through Dec. 9.
  • Wedbush lowered its price target to $40 with a Neutral rating on Dec. 8, following DA Davidson’s November cut to $54 while maintaining a Buy.
  • In 2025 the company reported high‑teens revenue growth, customer retention above 95%, and healthy margins, though adjusted EPS is projected to rise only about 7.2%.
  • Industry dynamics shifted as Amazon Ads scaled and secured premium CTV access, including being named Netflix’s primary programmatic partner, with additional ties to Disney and Roku.
  • The Trade Desk highlighted accelerating adoption of its AI platform Kokai with reported efficiency gains, and pointed to CTV and retail media as ongoing structural tailwinds.