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Tokyo Inflation Eases to 3.1% as BoJ Eyes Further Rate Hikes

Cooling energy prices have slowed consumer inflation despite it remaining above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target

A woman looks at items at a shop in Tokyo, Japan, March 24, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda attends a press conference after a BOJ policy meeting in Tokyo, Japan, May 1, 2025. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
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Overview

  • Tokyo’s core consumer price index rose 3.1% year-on-year in June, down from 3.6% in May and below economists’ forecasts of a 3.3% gain.
  • Electricity price increases cooled to 5.3% in June from 10.8% in May, while natural gas and fuel oil gains also slowed.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda and board member Naoki Tamura have signaled readiness to lift interest rates further if wage growth bolsters consumption and inflation pressures persist.
  • Japan’s jobless rate held at 2.5% in May and retail sales climbed 2.2% year-on-year, missing consensus estimates and suggesting mixed demand
  • The government has extended gasoline subsidies and tapped emergency rice reserves, and rice price growth eased to 90.6% in June from 93.7% in May