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Tokyo Core Inflation Quickens to 2.8%, Keeping Pressure on BOJ

Price gains reflect food spikes, with subsidy removal lifting readings, not services.

Overview

  • Tokyo's core CPI rose 2.8% year over year in October, beating a 2.6% forecast and accelerating from 2.5% in September.
  • A separate Tokyo index that excludes fresh food and fuel also climbed to 2.8%, a gauge the BOJ watches for domestic demand pressure.
  • Food costs led the increase, highlighted by a 38.4% surge in rice and the end of water-fee subsidies, while services inflation held at 1.6%.
  • The Bank of Japan left its policy rate at 0.5% at its latest meeting, with two board members dissenting over signs of broader price pressures.
  • Markets maintained expectations for a near-term rate hike as factory output rose 2.2% in September and unemployment stayed at 2.6%, even as officials emphasize the need for wage-driven inflation.