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TOI-2109b’s Orbital Decay Confirmed by Precise Transit Timing

Ongoing transit-timing observations will distinguish between tidal disruption, stellar collision, or photoevaporation over the next five years.

Credit: Illustration: NASA/CXC/M. Weiss; X-ray spectrum: NASA/CXC/MIT/H. M.Günther
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Overview

  • Astronomers detected a decaying orbit for TOI-2109b using transit timing from TESS, CHEOPS and ground telescopes spanning 2010–2024.
  • The ultra-hot Jupiter completes a record-setting 16-hour orbit at a distance of 870 light-years from Earth.
  • With nearly twice Jupiter’s size and five times its mass, the planet endures extreme tidal forces and intense stellar radiation.
  • Theoretical models and observations project at least a 10-second decrease in its orbital period over the next three years, confirming its inward spiral.
  • Researchers will extend transit-timing campaigns through 2030 to observe which of the three proposed end-state scenarios unfolds.