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Tiny Quakes Redraw Mendocino Triple Junction as Five-Piece System

Low-frequency microearthquake swarms validated by tidal signals reveal concealed fragments, refining seismic hazard assessments.

Overview

  • The Science study by USGS, UC Davis and CU Boulder maps the junction using dense seismometer data on magnitude-zero, low-frequency events.
  • The work identifies the Pioneer fragment translating north beneath western North America with an essentially horizontal, surface-invisible boundary.
  • A broken piece of the North American plate is being pulled down with the Gorda plate at the southern end of the Cascadia subduction zone.
  • The revised geometry explains the unexpected shallowness of the 1992 magnitude 7.2 Petrolia earthquake by placing the subducting surface higher than earlier models.
  • Tidal modulation of tiny earthquake rates supports the model, and experts say it points to potential unaccounted hazard and a greater chance of CascadiaSan Andreas interaction without forecasting specific events.