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Tintina Fault, Once Dormant, Is Straining Toward a Magnitude 7.5+ Quake

A Geophysical Research Letters study shows persistent tectonic strain, prompting Canada’s seismic hazard model to incorporate the fault for updated risk assessments.

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Overview

  • New measurements show the fault accumulating 0.2–0.8 millimeters of strain per year along its 600-mile span, indicating renewed seismic activity after 12,000 years of quiescence.
  • Topographic imaging from satellites, aircraft and drones revealed an 80-mile segment near Dawson City with landforms offset by up to 3,280 feet dating to the Quaternary Period.
  • Researchers warn the accumulated slip deficit could trigger earthquakes exceeding magnitude 7.5, posing a threat to communities and infrastructure.
  • Canada’s National Seismic Hazard Model will incorporate the fault as a discrete source, updating seismic hazard maps for northern North America.
  • Regional authorities are reviewing emergency response plans and reinforcing critical infrastructure such as highways, mines and the Trans-Alaska Pipeline.