Overview
- CSJ projects disability‑related benefits to rise from about £49.6bn to between £72.3bn and £76.8bn by 2030, equating to roughly £580–£700 per taxpayer.
- The thinktank recommends ending PIP and the Universal Credit health element for milder anxiety, depression or ADHD, affecting around 1.1 million claimants.
- It proposes resetting remaining awards to £103 per week and estimates £7.4bn in savings by 2029/30, with at least £1bn directed to NHS Talking Therapies and employment support.
- Further ideas include a Future Workforce Credit funded by removing the UC health element for under‑22s, which CSJ says could help 120,000 young people into jobs and deliver £765m in net savings.
- The Timms Review will operate within OBR PIP projections, the DWP says it aims to make PIP fair and focused on work, and Conservative figures attack Labour’s approach while touting £23bn in alternative savings.