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Think Tank’s Plan to Halve U.S. Forces Korea to 10,000 Faces Pentagon Pushback

Policymakers are reviewing the report during debate over U.S. posture in the Indo-Pacific ahead of the National Defense Strategy review.

This photo, taken on March 19, 2025, shows U.S. troops engaging in the South Korea-U.S. Freedom Shield exercise in Paju, about 30 kilometers northwest of Seoul. (Yonhap)
This photo, taken on Feb. 10, 2025, shows a U.S. AH-64 Apache helicopter engaging in a live-fire training event at the Rodriguez Live Fire Complex in Pocheon, some 45 kilometers north of Seoul. (Yonhap)
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Overview

  • Defense Priorities recommends cutting USFK from 28,500 to about 10,000 by removing most ground combat units and redeploying two fighter squadrons and support personnel.
  • Report authors argue that South Korea’s refusal to grant unrestricted contingency access risks sidelining U.S. forces in the event of a regional conflict.
  • The proposal calls for refocusing U.S. deployments in East Asia on deterring China and shifting frontline defense duties to allies such as Japan and the Philippines.
  • Jennifer Kavanagh and Dan Caldwell wrote the report, which is circulating among Trump administration and Defense Department officials as part of the upcoming strategy review.
  • The Pentagon dismissed the report’s recommendations as “not true” and reaffirmed that the United States remains fully committed to South Korea’s defense.