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Think Change Forum Urges Structural Reforms to Shield India From West Asia Shock

The May 27 white paper says fixing tariff distortions, restricting non‑merit imports, taxing natural gas under GST would conserve foreign exchange, reduce reliance on subsidies.

Overview

  • Think Change Forum released a white paper and held an expert roundtable on May 27 that pushes a three‑point agenda of export competitiveness, import discipline, and stronger trade defence.
  • The paper recommends correcting India’s 'inverted duty structure' with a 12‑month duty fix and a 'Dynamic Tariff Calibration' that links import duties to price triggers to protect domestic manufacturing.
  • It calls for targeted import curbs and tighter licensing for non‑merit and luxury goods to conserve foreign exchange and channel demand to local firms.
  • Authors urge bringing natural gas under GST to cut cascading taxes for fertilisers, chemicals and construction and warn that repeated open‑ended subsidies are fiscally unsustainable.
  • The report cites a 2025–26 merchandise gap (imports $774.98bn, exports $441.78bn) and a spike in rejected DGTR anti‑dumping recommendations in late 2025 as reasons to consider these policy options, but the measures remain recommendations and are not government policy.