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The Economist Urges Lula to Bow Out of 2026 Race as FT Tips Him to Win

A separate Financial Times forecast casts Lula as the favorite on the strength of recent economic gains.

Overview

  • Lula, 80, is told by The Economist that another term is too risky, with the editorial citing age, a Biden comparison, and his 2024 brain surgery to argue that charisma cannot shield against cognitive decline.
  • The editorial labels Senator Flávio Bolsonaro "unpopular" and "ineffective" and floats São Paulo governor Tarcísio de Freitas as a stronger right-wing option, even though Tarcísio has said he will not run and has endorsed Flávio.
  • Lula’s allies push back, with Gleisi Hoffmann calling the piece a mouthpiece for global finance and Humberto Costa describing it as a desperate move by the right, while Lula has signaled he intends to seek re-election.
  • The Financial Times includes a prediction that Lula is the 2026 front-runner, attributing his advantage to robust economic indicators, his stance against U.S. tariff pressure under President Trump, and opposition missteps such as urging foreign sanctions on Brazil.
  • Polling referenced in the coverage shows significant resistance to a fourth Lula bid and stagnant approval ratings, highlighting voter ambivalence as the right remains divided without a consensus challenger.