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Thanksgiving Dinner Costs Fall Nationally as State Surveys Show Sharp Gaps

A drop in turkey prices drives a 5% decline in the Farm Bureau’s 10-person basket.

Overview

  • The American Farm Bureau Federation pegs the national average at $55.18 for a classic meal for 10, down 5% year over year and the third straight annual decline.
  • A 16-pound turkey averages $21.50, down 16.3% and representing 39% of the basket’s total, with volunteers surveying prices in early November.
  • State snapshots diverge: California’s classic meal runs $72.61, Tennessee’s longer 22-item list averages $128.50, and Indiana’s total is $53.62, a 0.6% uptick from last year.
  • Several sides are pricier even as staples ease, including sweet potatoes up 37%, a carrot-and-celery tray up 61.3%, and frozen peas up 17.2%, while items like stuffing mix, dinner rolls and cranberries cost less.
  • Retailers are pushing discounted bundles that complicate comparisons, with Aldi offering a $40 package and Walmart holding a roughly $4-per-person deal that trims items from last year’s bundle.