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TexasGeorgia and AlabamaOklahoma Lead CFP-Shaping Week 12 as Odds and Models Split

Nick Saban’s on-air praise of Arch Manning underscores renewed confidence in Texas entering a must-win trip to Georgia.

Overview

  • Texas visits No. 5 Georgia as a 6 to 6.5-point underdog at DraftKings, with two-loss Texas needing a win to sustain College Football Playoff hopes.
  • Nick Saban said Arch Manning has looked more rhythmic and efficient in recent games, and Manning enters Athens after seven touchdowns and one interception over his last two outings.
  • No. 4 Alabama hosts No. 11 Oklahoma with multiple analysts backing the Tide around -6, citing Alabama’s form under Kalen DeBoer and Oklahoma’s recent defensive leaks against explosive passes.
  • SportsLine simulations favor Texas to cover +6.5 and give Notre Dame a strong win-and-cover profile at Pitt, reflecting wider disagreement between models and expert picks.
  • No. 9 Notre Dame at No. 22 Pittsburgh is widely cast as an elimination game for two-loss contenders, while elsewhere USC–Iowa and other ranked matchups carry playoff positioning stakes.