Overview

• Trump’s team is promoting mid-decade redistricting on a red-state tour that has hit Texas and is slated for Florida, Missouri and Ohio, with Indiana under consideration.
• New Texas districts were drawn off Trump’s 2024 surge with Latino voters, yet several Latino-heavy seats such as TX-28, TX-34 and the revamped TX-35 remain competitive as Republican down-ballot performance lagged.
• An Equis Research poll pegs Trump’s Latino job approval at 35 percent and finds roughly one-third of his 2024 Latino supporters open to voting Democratic in 2026, a shift Texas Majority PAC says could help Cuellar hold, give Gonzalez a shot and even put TX-15 on the board.
• The Supreme Court will hear a pivotal Voting Rights Act case on October 15 with Louisiana already planning a special session, while a Utah judge ordered new maps likely yielding a Democratic seat and California’s Democratic map measure is reportedly on track per party pollsters.
• Democrats are pairing legal and ballot countermeasures with organizing, including what Texas Majority PAC calls the largest voter-registration drive in state history, as special-election gains and early generic ballot trends favor them but remain preliminary.