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Texas Factory Output Jumps as Richmond District Manufacturing Contracts

New Fed surveys highlight a split picture across regions.

Overview

  • Texas production rose sharply in November, with the Dallas Fed’s production index up 15 points to 20.5 and capacity use and shipments also strengthening.
  • New orders in Texas turned positive at 4.8 after −1.7 in October, signaling a modest improvement in demand.
  • Broader sentiment in Texas softened as the general business activity index fell to −10.4 and the company outlook index dropped to −6.3.
  • Texas labor metrics showed flat head counts with the employment index at 1.2, while hours worked increased to 9.9 and price pressures ticked higher as wages held steady.
  • By contrast, the Richmond Fed’s Fifth District reported a deeper November slump, with its composite index down to −15, shipments at −14, new orders at −22, and local business conditions at −20 as some forward expectations improved slightly.