Overview

• Lorena has weakened near the Baja California coast with maximum winds around 35 mph, while producing heavy rain in parts of northwestern Mexico.
• The Weather Prediction Center rates Del Rio and the western Edwards Plateau at level 2 of 4 for excessive rainfall, with a level 1 risk covering much of Texas including Houston.
• Model trends turned drier for Southeast Texas, and most major cities are projected to see less than an inch, though isolated totals over 2 inches remain possible west and southwest of San Antonio.
• Rain and storm chances peak Sunday into early Monday as a southbound cold front interacts with mid- and upper-level tropical moisture, but the front’s exact placement remains uncertain.
• Gov. Greg Abbott activated state emergency resources ahead of the event, and officials note North and Northeast Texas could see isolated severe storms with damaging wind and large hail.