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Tesla’s Q2 Deliveries Drop 13.5%; Shares Rally After Muted Forecasts

Second quarter shipments mirror cautious forecasts, reflecting mounting pressures from production changeovers, political fallout, rising competition, looming tax-credit expiration

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 New Tesla vehicles are displayed at a showroom on May 1, 2025 in San Diego, California.

Overview

  • Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles in Q2 2025, down 13.5% from a year earlier and marking the second straight quarterly decline.
  • Global deliveries fell just short of the 387,000-unit consensus; production exceeded deliveries by about 26,000 units, leading to an inventory buildup.
  • U.S. June sales plunged 15.8% to 45,628 vehicles; European deliveries continued to decline and China saw only modest growth against rising competition.
  • Shares rose roughly 7% in premarket trading on the report, reflecting relief over tempered expectations despite ongoing bearish analyst outlooks.
  • Tesla’s growth outlook is challenged by a Model Y production changeover, delays to affordable variants, potential expiration of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, political backlash surrounding Elon Musk.