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Tesla Reports Q3 Autopilot Crash Every 6.36 Million Miles as Critics Flag Third Straight Year-Over-Year Decline

The company cites a roughly ninefold edge over a blended U.S. crash average, a comparison analysts say lacks apples-to-apples rigor.

Overview

  • In its Q3 2025 Vehicle Safety Report, Tesla says Autopilot‑engaged driving saw one crash per 6.36 million miles, versus a U.S. average of roughly one per 702,000 miles based on 2023 NHTSA and FHWA data.
  • Tesla frames the result as about nine times safer than the national average, down from prior claims of ten times safer earlier this year.
  • The report also lists one crash per 993,000 miles for Tesla drivers not using Autopilot during the quarter.
  • Independent outlets highlight a third consecutive year‑over‑year drop in Tesla’s miles‑between‑crash metric, noting the company does not disclose raw crash counts or total Autopilot miles.
  • Analysts question comparability because Tesla counts only crashes that trigger restraints and Autopilot use skews to safer limited‑access highways, while Tesla continues to market FSD as supervised driver‑assist rather than unsupervised autonomy.