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Tesla Q3 Deliveries Due This Week as Estimates Rise to About 448,000

Analysts see a tax-credit-fueled bump that may mask deep European weakness.

Overview

  • Tesa is expected to publish global production and delivery figures midweek, likely Wednesday or Thursday.
  • Wall Street consensus sits near 448,000 vehicles for the quarter, with some forecasts approaching about 456,000 and still trailing last year’s 463,000.
  • U.S. demand was likely pulled forward by buyers rushing to secure expiring tax credits at month-end, raising concerns about durability of any pickup.
  • European Union registrations fell roughly 37% in August to about 8,200 vehicles, and BYD outsold Tesla in the bloc for a second straight month.
  • Some trackers pointed to late-September improvement in parts of Europe and steadier signals in China and the U.S., while Elon Musk has warned that near-term quarters could be rough.