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Tesla Posts Record Q3 Deliveries on U.S. Incentive Rush

Analysts caution that demand may cool in the fourth quarter as the U.S. $7,500 EV tax credit has ended.

Overview

  • Tesla delivered 497,099 vehicles in the third quarter, up 7% year over year and its first annual increase of 2025.
  • The tally beat forecasts from FactSet at 447,600 and independent tracker Troy Teslike at 481,000.
  • Quarterly production fell 5% to 447,450 vehicles, creating a sharp gap between output and deliveries.
  • Strength centered on the lower-priced Model 3 and Model Y at 481,166 combined, with Europe lagging badly based on ACEA data showing deep year-to-date declines.
  • With the federal $7,500 EV credit removed by the Trump administration, analysts warn of a likely Q4 slowdown; Tesla shares turned lower later Thursday and detailed Q3 results arrive October 22.