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Tesla Pivots to Humanoid Robots as Investors Question Soaring Valuation and Slowing Sales

Forecasts call for a nearly 30% earnings decline in 2025 alongside early, unprofitable robotaxi progress.

Overview

  • Elon Musk said roughly 80% of Tesla’s value will come from Optimus, sharpening the company’s repositioning around humanoid robotics.
  • Analysts expect Tesla’s 2025 earnings to drop nearly 30% as vehicle demand weakens.
  • Tesla shares trade at about 155 times forward earnings, the richest multiple in the Magnificent Seven.
  • Tesla’s robotaxi effort is viewed as years from profitability and faces strong competition from Alphabet’s Waymo.
  • Nevada authorized Tesla to begin autonomous-vehicle testing, adding a new venue for its self-driving program.