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Tesla Enters 2026 ‘Prove-It’ Year as Robotaxi Rollout Stalls and April Cybercab Target Nears

A pared-back pilot with employees riding along leaves Tesla under pressure to demonstrate real autonomy this year.

Overview

  • Touted to reach half the country in 2025, Tesla’s robotaxi service now operates only in Austin and the San Francisco Bay Area, and rides still require a company employee.
  • Elon Musk has said the purpose-built Cybercab, designed without a steering wheel or brake pedals, is slated for volume production in April 2026.
  • Waymo reported 14 million fully autonomous paid rides in 2025 across five metro areas, while Tesla has yet to offer rides without an employee onboard.
  • Tesla’s core car business weakened, with 2025 sales down 9% and a sharp drop from the third to fourth quarter, even as the stock hit record highs after a more than 50% rally since June.
  • Safety questions persist, including eight robotaxi accidents reported to NHTSA in Austin and ongoing federal probes into Tesla’s driver-assistance systems.