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Tesla Braces for Worst-Ever Q2 Delivery Slump and Double-Digit Revenue Drop

Investors will focus on Elon Musk’s AI and autonomous vehicle plans ahead of the EV tax credit expiration this fall.

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Overview

  • Analysts forecast Q2 deliveries to fall 13.5%, revenue to decline about 12%, and earnings per share to tumble up to a third year-over-year.
  • Tesla’s July 23 earnings call is set to emphasize progress on AI, the Austin robotaxi rollout and Musk’s political activities over core financials.
  • The scheduled end of the U.S. EV tax credit in September could prompt Tesla to revise its 2025 delivery outlook as demand softens.
  • Aggressive global price cuts and growing competition have eroded Tesla’s U.S. market share and chiseled away at its profit margins.
  • Broker ratings for Tesla stock span from $115 to $500, with the average price target roughly 9% below current levels.