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Tennessee’s 7th District Special Election Goes Down to the Wire

Turnout will determine whether Republicans can hold a district Trump carried by more than 20 points.

Overview

  • Voters in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District are choosing between Republican Matt Van Epps and Democrat Aftyn Behn to replace Rep. Mark Green, with polls open until 7 p.m. CST.
  • An Emerson College survey taken November 22–24 put Van Epps at 48% and Behn at 46% among likely voters, and race handicappers still rate the contest Likely Republican as betting markets favor a GOP hold.
  • President Donald Trump made late tele‑rallies and get‑out‑the‑vote appeals as Speaker Mike Johnson and top Tennessee Republicans campaigned on the ground, and MAGA Inc. spent more than $1 million backing Van Epps.
  • Democrats injected new resources with a $1 million House Majority PAC ad buy and a virtual rally featuring Al Gore and Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez, contributing to more than $5 million in total advertising since the primary, according to AdImpact.
  • Both campaigns leaned into affordability messaging, Republicans highlighted Behn’s past comments on policing and Nashville, and turnout dynamics—including over 84,000 early votes—will shape the margin in a House where the GOP’s majority is slim.