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Temporary Fuel Excise Cut Ends, Pump Prices Set to Rise

The excise will return to its indexed rate at midnight Sunday, a move that will lift wholesale costs and push retail fuel prices higher over the coming week.

Overview

  • The federal government confirmed the temporary cut to the fuel excise will end at 11:59pm on Sunday, Aug. 2, restoring the tax to its higher indexed level.
  • That final step adds about 16 cents a litre at wholesale plus roughly one cent from inflation indexation, for a total rise of about 17 cents a litre entering the supply chain.
  • Retail increases will not be immediate because service stations will sell existing cheaper stock first, but motoring groups and analysts expect full pass-through in about a week to 10 days.
  • Industry forecasts say every Australian capital city is likely to see regular unleaded above $2 a litre next week and diesel around $2.30 to $2.40 a litre, with higher diesel costs raising freight and grocery prices.
  • The cut was introduced in April after Strait of Hormuz disruptions, cost an estimated $2.55 billion, and prompted criticism from economists even as the government says higher stockpiles and alternative supply routes have strengthened fuel security.