Overview
- U.S. futures fell after the S&P 500 and Dow dropped 1.7% and the Nasdaq slid 2.3% on Thursday, extending a tech-led pullback.
- CME FedWatch now puts the chance of a December quarter-point cut near 50%, down sharply from about two-thirds last week and roughly 95% a month ago.
- Policymakers including Neel Kashkari, Alberto Musalem and Beth Hammack signaled caution about more easing, keeping investors on edge ahead of fresh Fed remarks.
- The White House said October economic data were permanently impaired by the shutdown, with officials noting the household survey was not conducted and the unemployment rate may not be published.
- Risk aversion spread beyond equities as bitcoin fell to roughly $96,000, and Applied Materials flagged weaker China equipment spending with an estimated $600 million revenue hit in fiscal 2026.