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Tech Rout Deepens as Fed Cut Bets Recede, Global Markets Slide

Fed-cut odds have slipped to roughly a coin flip, reflecting cautious signals from policymakers.

dow dives 800 points as government opens stock market today
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 12, 2025.   REUTERS/staff
The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger
U.S. dollar banknotes are displayed in this illustration taken, February 14, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Overview

  • U.S. stocks logged their worst day in about a month, with the Dow down roughly 1.7% (about 800 points), the S&P 500 off around 1.7% and the Nasdaq lower by about 2.3%.
  • Trader-implied odds of a 25-basis-point cut in December fell to roughly 49%–52%, following cautious commentary from officials including Alberto Musalem, Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Susan Collins.
  • Treasury prices declined as the 10-year yield edged to about 4.11%, highlighting reduced confidence in near-term easing.
  • AI leaders led the pullback, with Nvidia down about 3.6% as investors reassessed stretched valuations, a slide linked in part to SoftBank’s sale of its Nvidia stake.
  • The 43-day U.S. shutdown ended, yet key data gaps persist for jobs and inflation, and the selloff spread to Asia and Europe on Friday.