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TD Cowen Puts AMD on 2026 ‘Best Ideas’ List as Helios, MI450 Target an AI Inflection

Analysts highlight a mid-2026 Helios–MI450 ramp as the next earnings inflection.

Overview

  • TD Cowen reiterated a Buy with a $290 target, calling Helios a key catalyst and modeling AMD’s EPS to reach a >$10 run rate by Q4 2026 as the rack-scale system and MI450 launch.
  • AMD management outlined long-term goals that include roughly 60% annual growth for its data center business and about 35% company-wide expansion.
  • Coverage cites a reported multi‑gigawatt OpenAI partnership—described as six gigawatts over five years—alongside other hyperscaler deployments that could translate into double‑digit billions per gigawatt.
  • Shares have surged 116% over the past nine months but recently pulled back, with Forbes flagging valuation, historical volatility, and macro sensitivity as reasons for caution.
  • Risks include U.S. export restrictions that have affected China data center sales and entrenched competition from NVIDIA’s CUDA ecosystem, even as AMD’s ROCm software shows improving adoption.