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TCU Technical Staff Presses to Restore Rule Targeting Center of Fiscal Goal

The opinion argues that using tolerance bands would let the Executive alter a target approved by Congress.

Overview

  • In a formal opinion, auditor Rafael Gomes Lima recommended the Tribunal de Contas da União keep its original order requiring budget execution to aim at the center of the fiscal target.
  • The Advocacia-Geral da União previously won a temporary suspension of that order, citing grave risk to public policy execution.
  • TCU technicians say the 2025 Budget Guidelines Law explicitly sets the center as the reference for contingenciamento, countering the AGU’s reliance on the Fiscal Responsibility Law’s lower band.
  • Applying the center requirement could force a resource freeze of roughly R$30–31 billion this year, after earlier freezes were partially reversed to about R$10–12.1 billion.
  • For 2026, the center is a surplus of 0.25% of GDP, estimated at about R$34.3 billion, signaling tighter planning ahead.