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Tarn-et-Garonne Runoff Tests Republican Front as LR Leaders Shun the Left

The result will indicate whether the anti–far right cordon sanitaire still works.

Overview

  • Voters in Tarn-et-Garonne’s 1st constituency choose Sunday between socialist Cathie Bourdoncle and UDR candidate Pierre-Henri Carbonnel, who is supported by the RN.
  • Les Républicains are divided, with local third-place finisher Bernard Pécou offering no endorsement as party chief Bruno Retailleau urged “not a single vote to the left” and vice president Julien Aubert backed Carbonnel, a stance welcomed by Eric Ciotti.
  • Bourdoncle has drawn public support from Renaissance’s first-round candidate Catherine Simonin-Bénazet, an LFI-led call to block the far right, the PCF, and regional figures including Carole Delga and Valérie Rabault.
  • First-round turnout collapsed to roughly 34–35%, making participation and the redistribution of LR’s 17.55% and a 7.34% RN-dissident vote central to the outcome.
  • Ifop-Fiducial polling this week shows the RN at 35–36% nationally and a broader RNUDRReconquête bloc near 39–40%, elevating the race’s symbolic weight and feeding discussion of a possible dissolution of the Assembly.