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Tariff Threats and Flat Services PMI Weigh on U.S. Stocks

Fed rate-cut expectations are fueling gains in European and Asian markets

Semiconductor chips are seen on a circuit board of a computer in this illustration picture taken February 25, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo
Street signs hang outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at Wall Street in New York on February 3, 2025. Stock markets slumped Monday over concerns about the global economy after US President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)
closeup of stock chart with multiple moving averages
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 30, 2025. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon/File Photo

Overview

  • U.S. Institute for Supply Management’s services PMI held at 50.1 in July, showing stalled orders, weakening employment and the largest input-cost jump in nearly three years.
  • President Trump said he would start with a small tariff on pharmaceutical imports before raising duties to triple digits and plans to announce new semiconductor levies within days.
  • Wall Street’s major indexes slipped as renewed trade tensions and disappointing economic gauges offset last week’s record highs.
  • The CME Group’s FedWatch tool places the odds of a September rate cut at about 85.5%, up sharply from mid-July.
  • European and Asian bourses extended modest advances even as oil prices fell to five-week lows and Palantir shares jumped after reporting over $1 billion in quarterly revenue.