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Tariff Ruling and Fed Jitters Rattle Markets as Gold Sets Record and Long Yields Near 5%

Investors are watching this week’s U.S. jobs data to gauge rate cuts after judges left most tariffs in place pending appeal.

Overview

  • An appeals court said most of President Trump’s global tariffs are illegal but kept them effective until Oct. 14 to allow a Supreme Court appeal.
  • U.S. stocks fell with tech leading declines as the 30‑year Treasury yield approached 5% and the 10‑year hovered near 4.3%.
  • Gold jumped to fresh records above $3,500 an ounce as safe‑haven demand rose alongside rate‑cut expectations.
  • European long‑dated bond yields hit multi‑year highs, pressuring equities, with Britain and France in focus during budget season.
  • Futures pricing implies roughly an 89%–92% chance of a 25 bp Fed cut this month, with markets also tracking legal moves involving Fed Governor Lisa Cook and concerns about central‑bank independence.