Overview
- In a video posted Sunday, Tarcísio said Brazil would “get back to working” by “changing the CEO,” touting rare earths, energy, semiconductors and AI as pillars for reindustrialization, and was promptly criticized by government leader Lindbergh Farias.
- A new survey of lawmakers by Ranking dos Políticos lists Tarcísio as the most cited figure to lead the right in 2026, ahead of Eduardo and Michelle Bolsonaro.
- An academic study (A Cara da Democracia 2025) finds that 22% of those who like Tarcísio voted for Lula in the 2022 runoff and that he faces lower rejection than Jair Bolsonaro among voters who rate Lula’s government as excellent.
- Moves around Jair Bolsonaro, including a request granted for Tarcísio to visit him on Dec. 10, have intensified speculation about a Tarcísio‑centered ticket with Michelle Bolsonaro as a possible running mate, though no endorsement has been announced.
- Tarcísio has expanded influence on security policy by helping position Guilherme Derrite as rapporteur of the Antifacção bill in the Chamber, and he is signaling a decision on a presidential bid only closer to March 2026 while maintaining alignment with Bolsonaro.