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Tarcísio Backs ‘Pacification’ Amnesty as Chamber Fast-Tracks Penalty Cuts and Parties Jockey for 2026

A fast-tracked penalty-reduction bill is elevating Tarcísio’s value in 2026 bargaining.

Overview

  • In interior São Paulo on Sept. 20, Governor Tarcísio de Freitas endorsed an amnesty as a factor of social pacification and stressed he does not seek impunity.
  • The Chamber approved urgency for an amnesty-related bill and named Paulinho da Força as rapporteur, who rebranded it the “PL da Dosimetria” to reduce sentences rather than grant a blanket pardon.
  • Paulinho said the text could benefit Jair Bolsonaro without confronting the Supreme Court and sought counsel from ex-president Michel Temer, drawing criticism from Eduardo Bolsonaro that the rapporteur publicly rebutted.
  • As the PL presses to recruit Tarcísio for a 2026 run, Republicanos is demanding compensatory space and floating tickets in key states, including Marcelo Crivella or Clarissa Garotinho for a Senate bid in Rio and Cleitinho Azevedo for governor in Minas.
  • Party bosses have sent mixed signals about Tarcísio’s future affiliation, even as qualitative research shows his appeal growing nationally despite voter complaints about security, education and transport in São Paulo.