Overview
- An Emerson College/Nexstar survey conducted Jan. 10–12 shows James Talarico leading Jasmine Crockett 47% to 38% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 15% undecided.
- Talarico has pitched electability as the race’s central question and reports $13 million raised through Dec. 31 along with a 13,000-strong volunteer operation.
- Crockett is touring smaller Texas cities such as Marshall to broaden her profile, emphasizing affordability concerns and preparing for a Jan. 24 debate.
- Some Democrats express concern that Crockett’s combative style and past remarks could hurt in November, though her campaign disputes unfavorable readings of recent polls.
- Republicans view Talarico as the tougher potential opponent, and Sen. John Cornyn says a Talarico–Ken Paxton matchup is tied, as the GOP primary featuring Cornyn, Paxton, and Wesley Hunt heads toward a possible May runoff; Texas is still rated Likely R.