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Takaichi Nears Premiership as Ishin Ends Opposition Talks and PM Vote Set for Oct. 21

A demand to cut parliamentary seats has become the price of Ishin’s support.

Overview

  • The Japan Innovation Party told the CDP and DPFP it is ending coordination for a joint PM bid, increasing the likelihood that LDP leader Sanae Takaichi secures the post next week.
  • Executives from the LDP and Ishin reported “big progress” in coalition talks, with the LDP agreeing in principle to reduce Diet seats while leaving details and timing to be finalized.
  • Ishin leader Hirofumi Yoshimura reiterated that a 10% cut in lawmakers and legislation by year-end is a nonnegotiable condition, warning that Ishin would back its co-leader Fumitake Fujita otherwise.
  • Parliament will choose a new prime minister on Oct. 21, and an LDPIshin alignment would control about 231 lower-house seats, two short of a majority, yet runoff rules could still hand Takaichi the win.
  • Takaichi sent an offering to Yasukuni Shrine during the autumn festival and did not visit in person as she navigates coalition building and regional sensitivities.