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Syria Marks One Year Post-Assad as HTS-Led Rule Faces Tests on Security, Justice and Relief

Diplomatic gains contrast with a state that still lacks a monopoly on force.

Overview

  • Acting president Ahmed al-Scharaa led anniversary events in Damascus and pledged a four-year transition centered on constitutional reform and coexistence.
  • Independent reporting documents major sectarian atrocities this year—including a Reuters-cited finding of roughly 1,479 Alawite victims in March—while the first trials of suspects have begun.
  • Observers report fragmented armed groups and limited command over HTS affiliates, with minorities remaining at risk after lethal incidents in Suwaida and other areas.
  • Western and UN sanctions have been eased but reconstruction is stalled, the banking system constrains aid, over 60% of the population needs assistance, about seven million are internally displaced, and more than one million returnees face housing and job shortages.
  • Debate in Germany over refugee returns has intensified, with Chancellor Friedrich Merz saying there are no grounds for asylum as many Syrians—especially from minorities—argue the country remains unsafe.