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SWOT's First High-Resolution Tsunami Swath Upends Assumptions and Extends Quake Rupture

Researchers report dispersive wave patterns with a roughly 400‑kilometer rupture from a combined satellite–buoy analysis.

Overview

  • A magnitude 8.8 earthquake on July 29, 2025 in the KurilKamchatka subduction zone generated a trans‑Pacific tsunami captured in detail by NASACNES’s SWOT satellite.
  • The satellite recorded a roughly 120‑kilometer‑wide swath of the sea surface, providing the first high‑resolution, space‑based track of a major subduction‑zone tsunami.
  • SWOT observations showed complex, interacting waves that contradicted the long‑held assumption that large tsunamis behave as non‑dispersive single waves.
  • Models that included dispersion reproduced the satellite measurements more accurately, and inconsistencies in DART arrival times exposed gaps in earlier simulations.
  • An inversion that combined SWOT data with DART buoy records indicated the earthquake rupture extended about 400 kilometers, longer than prior ~300‑kilometer estimates and pointing to the value of integrating satellite swaths into future forecasting workflows.