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Swingy ETF Flows Push Bitcoin to Test $80K Support

Concentrated IBIT buying followed by midweek ETF redemptions reduced liquidity, raising the risk of a drop toward $73,000–$75,000 before the Fed decision.

Overview

  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs swung from large single‑day inflows to heavy withdrawals during the week Oct. 19–23, finishing the period with a modest net inflow that was driven mainly by one fund.
  • BlackRock’s IBIT dominated the week’s activity, responsible for the largest inflows on Monday (roughly $665 million) and significant withdrawals later in the week, a concentration that amplified price moves.
  • The ETF flow reversal coincided with Bitcoin slipping to test the $79,600–$81,000 band and trading near $80,000, a level analysts say matches many ETF investors’ cost basis and acts as key near‑term support.
  • Leveraged long positions were forcibly closed during the selloff, with CoinGlass reporting roughly $240 million of BTC liquidations in 24 hours and longs making up the bulk of that figure, which intensified short‑term selling pressure.
  • Macro risks, thinner crypto native liquidity and the upcoming Fed decision increase downside risk, and market participants will watch authorized participants and ETF holders when U.S. markets reopen for signs of stabilization or further outflows.