Overview
- U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and transferred him out of Venezuela in Operation Absolute Resolve, a large multi‑base mission described by Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine.
- A newly created Polymarket account wagered roughly $30,000–$34,000 on Maduro leaving by January 31 and realized about $436,760 within hours of the public announcement.
- On‑chain analyst Lookonchain flagged three freshly created wallets that focused solely on Venezuela‑related contracts and collectively profited about $630,484.
- Polymarket prices for “Maduro out by Jan. 31” lingered in the single digits for weeks before spiking around 4:20 a.m. ET near the time of the announcement.
- Rep. Ritchie Torres is preparing the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 to bar covered officials from trading when they possess material nonpublic information, as the wallets remain pseudonymous and no formal investigative findings have been disclosed.