Overview

• After voting against the budget reconciliation package on July 15, Collins has publicly voiced frustration with Senate GOP leadership and President Trump’s influence on legislation.
• Though she remains formally inclined to run, Collins has not ruled out retiring, threatening the GOP’s narrow 53–47 Senate majority.
• White House officials are quietly scouting a more Trump-aligned Republican to contest Maine’s open seat if Collins steps aside.
• Democrats have earmarked resources and intensified their Maine strategy, viewing a potentially vacant seat as a key path to regaining control of the Senate.
• Morning Consult polling places Collins at a 38% approval rating in Maine, the lowest of her career, with 54% of voters disapproving.