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Surveys Put Netanyahu Coalition at 49 Seats as Opposition Commands Majority

Published following operations in Gaza City, paired with Netanyahu's 'Sparta' address, the findings suggest security dynamics are steering voter sentiment.

Overview

  • A Channel 12 poll reported by Haaretz projects 71 seats for opposition parties versus 49 for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition if elections were held now.
  • A Maariv survey reported by Israel National News also places the coalition at 49 seats, with 61 for the center-left and 10 for Arab parties that typically do not join governments.
  • Likud remains the largest single party in both snapshots but weakened, drawing roughly 24–25 seats compared with stronger showings in past cycles.
  • Channel 12's testing shows a hypothetical Bennett–Eisenkot joint list could lead with about 30 seats, reshaping the map and overtaking Likud.
  • Maariv's scenario with new entrants estimates Bennett's party at 20 seats and Eisenkot's Yashar! at nine, with smaller parties distributed across the remaining seats.