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Surge in Pentagon-Area Pizza Orders Reignites Predictive Theory

Skeptics dismiss the decades-old indicator despite its timing before Israel’s June 12 attack on Iran

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Donald Trump picking up some pies while campaigning in Iowa last year
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Overview

  • Google Maps data showed a spike in takeout requests at four pizza shops near the Pentagon around 7 p.m. ET on June 12, just hours before Israel’s airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear sites.
  • The Pentagon Pizza Index traces back to the 1980s and has coincided with major U.S. operations, including the 1989 Panama invasion and 1991’s Desert Storm.
  • The Department of Defense refuted the theory, highlighting its internal food concessions and disputing the reported surge timeline.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio reiterated that the U.S. had no role in the June 12 strikes and affirmed America’s focus on protecting its forces.
  • Researchers caution that confirmation bias and scant data samples limit the index’s reliability as a form of open-source intelligence.